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Stephen Grugett is the co-founder of Manifold Markets, the world's largest prediction market platform where people bet on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Steve and Stephen discuss:

0:00 Introduction

0:52 Stephen Grugett’s background

5:20 The genesis and mission of Manifold Markets

11:25 The play money advantage: Legalities and user engagement

20:47 Manifold’s user base and the power of calibration

23:35 Simplifying prediction markets for broader engagement

27:31 Revenue streams and future business directions

30:46 Legal challenges in prediction markets

31:47 Dating markets

32:53 The Art of PR

38:32 Global reach and community engagement

39:27 The future of Manifold Markets and user predictions

43:38 Life in the Bay Area; Tech, culture, and crazy stuff

Manifold Markets: https://manifold.markets/

Music used with permiss

Stephen Grugett: Predicting the Future with Manifold Markets — #55

Manifold