Why Doubt Is a Superpower | Nobel Prize–Winning Physicist Saul Perlmutter | In Good Company

In this episode of "In Good Company," Nicolai Tangen interviews Nobel laureate Saul Perlmutter about his book "Third Millennium Thinking" and the application of scientific methods to navigate an uncertain world. Perlmutter argues that humanity possesses the knowledge to solve major global issues like climate change and hunger, but struggles with effective communication and collaboration. They discuss the scientific method as a collection of ideas, including probabilistic thinking, individual humility, and collective arrogance, and how these concepts can be applied to teamwork, decision-making, and overcoming biases like confirmation bias. They also explore the importance of incentivizing disagreement, the challenges of uncertainty, the role of gut feeling and pattern recognition, and the impact of AI on critical thinking. Perlmutter shares insights from his own experiences in cosmology, including the discovery of dark energy and the dynamics of scientific collaboration, and encourages young people to embrace uncertainty and work towards building a better world.