The podcast explores the state of US-China relations, particularly examining why the predicted increase in tensions has not materialized. It suggests that China, having learned from previous trade conflicts, is now more prepared and strategically assertive, while the US misjudged China's economic resilience post-COVID. The discussion highlights China's shift from reactive to proactive measures, such as expansive export controls, and its focus on leveraging relationships with US allies. It posits that China aims to string the US along until the midterm elections, betting on Trump's desire for a deal. The conversation also touches on potential triggers for escalating tensions, such as the IEPA tariffs and actions concerning Taiwan.
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