Critical minerals have transitioned from forgotten commodities to weaponized assets in a global strategic conflict. Tomasz Nadrowski, author of *Mineral War*, argues that China maintains a quasi-monopoly over essential elements like rare earths, gallium, germanium, and tungsten by utilizing underpriced capital and state-driven industrial capacity. Western efforts to rebuild these value chains require a three-pronged approach: establishing reference prices to incentivize upstream investment, implementing protective tariffs to counter Chinese dumping, and providing downstream subsidies to encourage the adoption of non-Chinese products. While China’s mercantilist strategy in regions like Africa creates significant debt and current account deficits, the West must prioritize strategic sovereignty over pure profit-driven models. Investors should focus on companies that secure Western feedstock and avoid the pitfalls of short-term, volatile mining cycles by understanding the structural shifts in global supply chains.
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