Prof G Markets

SpaceX Raised $111B — It Already Needs More

Why The S&P Just Hit A Record High — Despite Soaring Yields

Brazil’s Far-Right Is Surging — Investors Love It

Brazil’s recent elections reveal a deeply polarized nation where, despite a lack of coherent economic plans, the far-right Liberal Party achieved a significant legislative sweep, signaling potential future fiscal instability. Meanwhile, the U.S. labor market shows signs of stagnation, with hiring intentions at a 15-yea...

5 Stocks Are Carrying The Market — Here's How To Protect Yourself

The S&P 500 remains heavily reliant on five major tech stocks, which have driven 93% of gains since July, highlighting a structural market imbalance. AI labs like Anthropic and OpenAI face significant scrutiny regarding their massive operating losses, extreme customer concentration, and valuations that appear to ignore...

“Big Short” Investor: One Company Could Break The AI Boom

AI market concentration poses significant risks, as the sector’s revenue relies heavily on Anthropic and OpenAI. Investment analyst Steve Eisman argues that these companies are manufacturing existential crises to invite regulation, effectively creating a duopoly and protecting their market share against open-weight mod...

Anthropic’s Financials Revealed — The Losses Are Stunning

Anthropic’s upcoming $2 trillion IPO faces intense scrutiny due to staggering operating losses, extreme customer concentration, and the unconventional inclusion of existential risk factors in its prospectus. Managing partner Paul Kedrosky argues that the company’s reliance on massive training costs—which it attempts to...

Wall Street Veteran: The Bond Sell-Off Is A Buying Opportunity

Investors Are Turning Against Data Centers (Here's Why)

The AI and data center infrastructure boom faces a reality check as investors grow wary of inflated valuations for companies like SB Energy that lack operational capacity. This skepticism extends to the broader AI trade, where massive capital expenditures meet uncertain demand and significant physical construction hurd...

Bonds Are Going Haywire Again — Howard Marks Explains Why

The bond market is signaling structural concerns as yields on U.S. Treasuries reach multi-decade highs, driven by persistent inflation and unsustainable fiscal deficits. Legendary investor Howard Marks argues that current interest rates are not historically high but are instead returning to normal after an aberrational...

Oil Expert: We Can’t Predict Iran Anymore

Oil markets face extreme volatility and structural uncertainty as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, defy traditional forecasting models. Commodity expert Matt Smith notes that even with increased oil flows, the persistent risk premium and potential for escal...

Meta Just Turned Your Data Into An AI Advantage

The Rate Hikes Are Coming

Persistent inflation and a $40 trillion national debt signal a potential era of "forever inflation," as government fiscal policy continues to favor spending over structural reform. Bond markets are reacting to this instability, forcing a reckoning for investors who must now weigh the risks of traditional fixed-income a...

The Debt Reckoning Has Begun

Global bond markets are signaling deep concern over unsustainable government borrowing, while equity markets remain buoyant, fueled by robust corporate earnings and the AI boom. This divergence reflects a fundamental disconnect: bond investors prioritize downside risk and fiscal discipline, whereas stock investors bet ...

Anthropic Whistleblower Says AI Could “Kill Us All”

The debate over AI safety intensifies following viral claims from Anthropic and OpenAI researchers regarding potential existential risks. While some analysts argue that AI’s dependence on human-built infrastructure makes total human extinction illogical, others demand rigorous federal investigation into these corporate...

Canadian Economist: Trump’s Tariffs Are A Gift To Mark Carney

The Canada-US trade war has escalated into a reciprocal tariff conflict, with Canada strategically diversifying trade toward the EU to mitigate economic instability. Meanwhile, the latest OECD global education report reveals a significant, sustained decline in reading, math, and science scores among 15-year-olds, exace...

OpenAI Says “AGI” Is Here — What Does That Actually Mean?

The current AI landscape relies on a "bait and switch" marketing strategy where companies label models as Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) to drive stock prices despite a lack of real-world economic utility or reliability. Gary Marcus, a professor of psychology and neuroscience, contends that these systems fail to...

Economist: The AI Bears Are Asking The Wrong Questions

The current AI landscape represents a transformative technological shift rather than a speculative bubble, despite inevitable market volatility and individual company failures. While skeptics characterize AI as an unprofitable "con," the technology’s rapid integration into intellectual tasks and its breakthrough role i...

Bonds Are Warning Of A Global Inflation Crisis

Global bond markets are signaling deep concern over unsustainable government debt and persistent inflation, effectively ending the era of cheap capital. John Mowrey, Chief Investment Officer at NFJ Investment Group, notes that while rising interest rates create economic headwinds, corporate earnings resilience—fueled b...

Bond Market Meltdown: Investors See No End To The Iran War

Persistent geopolitical conflict between the U.S. and Iran is fueling market volatility, driving Brent crude to $95 per barrel and pushing 10-year Treasury yields to multi-year highs. Investors are increasingly pricing in a prolonged war, as neither side shows willingness to concede leverage. Simultaneously, the regula...

Why Bessent Tried To Rescue The Bond Market (And Failed)

Bond market instability persists following Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s unconventional debt buyback intervention, which failed to suppress yields, and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole address signaling a firm stance against inflation. Simultaneously, the artificial intelligence sector face...